SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The potent upper-level trough on the East Coast and associated surface cyclone offshore will lift northeastward with time on Sunday. Surface high pressure and colder air will shift eastward into the more of the eastern U.S. ...Florida... Confidence in reduced RH during the afternoon is higher than on Saturday. RH of 25-35% appears possible along the eastern Peninsula. As with Saturday, temperatures will remain on the cool side. More importantly, winds speeds will be on a downward trend through the period. Given this expected environment, fire weather risk is expected to remain low. ..Wendt.. 01/31/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The potent upper-level trough on the East Coast and associated surface cyclone offshore will lift northeastward with time on Sunday. Surface high pressure and colder air will shift eastward into the more of the eastern U.S. ...Florida... Confidence in reduced RH during the afternoon is higher than on Saturday. RH of 25-35% appears possible along the eastern Peninsula. As with Saturday, temperatures will remain on the cool side. More importantly, winds speeds will be on a downward trend through the period. Given this expected environment, fire weather risk is expected to remain low. ..Wendt.. 01/31/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 2 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1140 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 021200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... The potent upper-level trough on the East Coast and associated surface cyclone offshore will lift northeastward with time on Sunday. Surface high pressure and colder air will shift eastward into the more of the eastern U.S. ...Florida... Confidence in reduced RH during the afternoon is higher than on Saturday. RH of 25-35% appears possible along the eastern Peninsula. As with Saturday, temperatures will remain on the cool side. More importantly, winds speeds will be on a downward trend through the period. Given this expected environment, fire weather risk is expected to remain low. ..Wendt.. 01/31/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A deepening surface low off the Mid-Atlantic coast will drive 15-20 mph surface winds down the Florida Peninsula today. It is possible that marginal RH reductions may occur along the Florida-Georgia line (30-35% during the afternoon). However, light precipitation was observed on Friday which will dampen fuels. Coupled with temperatures in the 40s F, fire weather concerns will likely remain minimal. Elsewhere within the CONUS, combinations of cool/cold temperatures, light winds, and poor fuel receptiveness will preclude concerns. ..Wendt.. 01/31/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A deepening surface low off the Mid-Atlantic coast will drive 15-20 mph surface winds down the Florida Peninsula today. It is possible that marginal RH reductions may occur along the Florida-Georgia line (30-35% during the afternoon). However, light precipitation was observed on Friday which will dampen fuels. Coupled with temperatures in the 40s F, fire weather concerns will likely remain minimal. Elsewhere within the CONUS, combinations of cool/cold temperatures, light winds, and poor fuel receptiveness will preclude concerns. ..Wendt.. 01/31/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A deepening surface low off the Mid-Atlantic coast will drive 15-20 mph surface winds down the Florida Peninsula today. It is possible that marginal RH reductions may occur along the Florida-Georgia line (30-35% during the afternoon). However, light precipitation was observed on Friday which will dampen fuels. Coupled with temperatures in the 40s F, fire weather concerns will likely remain minimal. Elsewhere within the CONUS, combinations of cool/cold temperatures, light winds, and poor fuel receptiveness will preclude concerns. ..Wendt.. 01/31/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1139 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO CRITICAL AREAS... ...Synopsis... A deepening surface low off the Mid-Atlantic coast will drive 15-20 mph surface winds down the Florida Peninsula today. It is possible that marginal RH reductions may occur along the Florida-Georgia line (30-35% during the afternoon). However, light precipitation was observed on Friday which will dampen fuels. Coupled with temperatures in the 40s F, fire weather concerns will likely remain minimal. Elsewhere within the CONUS, combinations of cool/cold temperatures, light winds, and poor fuel receptiveness will preclude concerns. ..Wendt.. 01/31/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today through tonight. ...Synopsis... Long-wave troughing will persist across the eastern CONUS as an embedded shortwave trough steadily intensifies off the East Coast. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely off the GA/Carolina coast as an attendant surface cyclone intensifies; however, the warm sector of the low will remain well offshore, precluding the potential for thunderstorms over land. Elsewhere, seasonally cool conditions across the central CONUS and upper ridging over the West will further nullify thunderstorm development. ..Moore/Wendt.. 01/31/2026 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today through tonight. ...Synopsis... Long-wave troughing will persist across the eastern CONUS as an embedded shortwave trough steadily intensifies off the East Coast. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely off the GA/Carolina coast as an attendant surface cyclone intensifies; however, the warm sector of the low will remain well offshore, precluding the potential for thunderstorms over land. Elsewhere, seasonally cool conditions across the central CONUS and upper ridging over the West will further nullify thunderstorm development. ..Moore/Wendt.. 01/31/2026 Read more

SPC 1200Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1125 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 311200Z - 011200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not forecast across the U.S. today through tonight. ...Synopsis... Long-wave troughing will persist across the eastern CONUS as an embedded shortwave trough steadily intensifies off the East Coast. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are likely off the GA/Carolina coast as an attendant surface cyclone intensifies; however, the warm sector of the low will remain well offshore, precluding the potential for thunderstorms over land. Elsewhere, seasonally cool conditions across the central CONUS and upper ridging over the West will further nullify thunderstorm development. ..Moore/Wendt.. 01/31/2026 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected tonight. ...Synopsis... Dry and stable conditions remain prevalent across the CONUS based on latest surface observations and recent 00z RAOBs, and will preclude thunderstorm development. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected overnight well east of the Carolina coast as a cyclone continues to intensify, but these are not expected to impact land. ..Moore.. 01/31/2026 Read more

SPC 0100Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0639 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 310100Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected tonight. ...Synopsis... Dry and stable conditions remain prevalent across the CONUS based on latest surface observations and recent 00z RAOBs, and will preclude thunderstorm development. Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected overnight well east of the Carolina coast as a cyclone continues to intensify, but these are not expected to impact land. ..Moore.. 01/31/2026 Read more

No watches are valid as of Fri Jan 30 22:02:01 UTC 2026.

No Mesoscale Discussions are in effect as of Fri Jan 30 22:02:01 UTC 2026.

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z ...Synopsis... Large scale troughing is expected to predominate the eastern U.S. through much of next week. Multiple mid-level short wave features, related surface cold fronts and precipitation should generally keep fire weather concerns minimal across much of the eastern U.S. through Day 8/Friday. A period of prolonged above normal temperatures and dry conditions is expected across the Intermountain West and High Plains as a mid-level ridge amplifies over the western U.S. A lack of drier fuels should limit overall impact from occasional dry and breezy conditions across the Desert Southwest. ...Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday - Florida... A dry, post-frontal regime across FL should keep breezy northwest winds across the peninsula Sunday with a diminishing surface gradient reducing wind magnitude on Monday. However, light precipitation associated with the frontal passage on Day 2/Saturday along with abnormally cool temperatures and marginal fuel receptiveness should mitigate a more expansive fire weather threat across FL. This precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z ...Synopsis... Large scale troughing is expected to predominate the eastern U.S. through much of next week. Multiple mid-level short wave features, related surface cold fronts and precipitation should generally keep fire weather concerns minimal across much of the eastern U.S. through Day 8/Friday. A period of prolonged above normal temperatures and dry conditions is expected across the Intermountain West and High Plains as a mid-level ridge amplifies over the western U.S. A lack of drier fuels should limit overall impact from occasional dry and breezy conditions across the Desert Southwest. ...Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday - Florida... A dry, post-frontal regime across FL should keep breezy northwest winds across the peninsula Sunday with a diminishing surface gradient reducing wind magnitude on Monday. However, light precipitation associated with the frontal passage on Day 2/Saturday along with abnormally cool temperatures and marginal fuel receptiveness should mitigate a more expansive fire weather threat across FL. This precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook
Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0342 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 011200Z - 071200Z ...Synopsis... Large scale troughing is expected to predominate the eastern U.S. through much of next week. Multiple mid-level short wave features, related surface cold fronts and precipitation should generally keep fire weather concerns minimal across much of the eastern U.S. through Day 8/Friday. A period of prolonged above normal temperatures and dry conditions is expected across the Intermountain West and High Plains as a mid-level ridge amplifies over the western U.S. A lack of drier fuels should limit overall impact from occasional dry and breezy conditions across the Desert Southwest. ...Days 3-4/Sunday-Monday - Florida... A dry, post-frontal regime across FL should keep breezy northwest winds across the peninsula Sunday with a diminishing surface gradient reducing wind magnitude on Monday. However, light precipitation associated with the frontal passage on Day 2/Saturday along with abnormally cool temperatures and marginal fuel receptiveness should mitigate a more expansive fire weather threat across FL. This precludes introduction of Critical probabilities at this time. ..Williams.. 01/30/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. Read more

SPC 2000Z Day 1 Outlook
Day 1 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0134 PM CST Fri Jan 30 2026 Valid 302000Z - 311200Z ...NO THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ...SUMMARY... Thunderstorms are not expected today or tonight. ...20Z Update... The previous forecast (see below) remains on track. ..Squitieri.. 01/30/2026 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1000 AM CST Fri Jan 30 2026/ ...Synopsis and Discussion... A large-scale upper trough will amplify over the central/eastern CONUS through tonight. In response, a surface low will gradually deepen and develop northeastward along/near the Gulf Stream, while remaining offshore of the Carolinas. Any thunderstorms associated with the warm sector of the surface cyclone should also remain offshore. A separate mid-level shortwave trough will overspread parts of the Pacific Northwest and British Columbia today. While showers/bands of precipitation are forecast to move inland, negligible instability is expected to limit thunderstorm potential. Read more